Spacefem.com

Probability of delivery within x days of a given date

[ Survey Results Intro | All Charts | Take the survey ]

This graph shows only babies born as a result of spontaneous (non-induced) labor (75% of all participants)

Do babies come on their due dates? Not really. But they seem to come around their due dates. In the survey, only 80 out of 1884 (4.2%) spontaneously arrived on the exact day. But if you look around that date, the numbers get bigger fast... 480 babies (25.5%) arrived spontaneously between 39 weeks 4 days and 40 weeks 3 days. 881 (46.8%) arrived spontaneously within a week of their due date. Throwing out inductions makes those percentages even higher: 62.1% of all non-induced babies arrived within a week of their due date.

Data Table

DayIn weeksBabies Spontaneously Born
24535W,0D2
24635W,1D2
24735W,2D1
24835W,3D5
24935W,4D2
25035W,5D5
25135W,6D3
25236W,0D5
25336W,1D7
25436W,2D9
25536W,3D7
25636W,4D3
25736W,5D6
25836W,6D9
25937W,0D7
26037W,1D11
26137W,2D10
26237W,3D13
26337W,4D16
26437W,5D16
26537W,6D23
26638W,0D15
26738W,1D17
26838W,2D10
26938W,3D33
27038W,4D36
27138W,5D34
27238W,6D38
27339W,0D42
27439W,1D38
27539W,2D43
27639W,3D53
27739W,4D57
27839W,5D64
27939W,6D80
28040W,0D80
28140W,1D80
28240W,2D55
28340W,3D64
28440W,4D60
28540W,5D49
28640W,6D52
28741W,0D64
28841W,1D38
28941W,2D30
29041W,3D28
29141W,4D29
29241W,5D19
29341W,6D15
29442W,0D14
29542W,1D8
29642W,2D5
29742W,3D2
29842W,4D1
29942W,5D2
30042W,6D0
30143W,0D2

Due Date Survey Data

Due date statistics: A study on the length of pregnancy
Probability of delivery resulting from spontaneous labor after 35 weeks
Probability of delivery within x days of a given date
Length of pregnancy by week
Spontaneous labor and due date determination
Length of pregnancy, comparing subsequent births for individual moms
Length of pregnancy for first time vs. second & third time moms
Length of pregnancy, type of delivery
Gestation vs. Birthweight
Probablity of Induction after a given day
Average day of spontaneous labor vs. age of mother at time of birth
Are more babies born during a full moon?
What's the most common day of the week for babies to be born?
I'm still pregnant at 40W. What's it mean?
Do winter babies arrive later?
What if I know my conception date?
Birth Stories
Table of all results
Survey input dates

More Resources

Pregnancy Day-by-Day
Fast pregnancy calendar
Baby age calendar
EDD Icon Generator
Jo's Birth Story
Weeks vs. Months Explained
Charts generated by flot
spacefem.com
spacefem@spacefem.com
blog comments powered by Disqus